Modi issues more: That also improves BJP’s dependence on him as a vote-getter particularly given that emergence of Congress president Rahul Gandhi as the principal challenger may perhaps change 2019 into a presidential-design contest involving the two.
UP matters extra: The three states that BJP misplaced — Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh — account for 65 Lok Sabha seats of which it experienced received 62 in 2014. If assembly poll final results are extrapolated to parliamentary seats, BJP could lose 31 of these in 2019. That will make neighbouring Uttar Pradesh crucial where BJP had won 71 and its allies two of the 80 Lok Sabha seats in 2014. That also signifies a additional central job for its chief minister Yogi Adityanath in BJP’s options for 2019.
Mandir issues too: With UP turning into a have to-gain and Yogi government’s improvement file not offering nearly anything breathtaking, odds of the Ram Mandir agitation gaining intensity in the coming times are high (it may determine in Parliament much too in the form of a private member’s monthly bill). With the possibility of Mayawati’s BSP and Akhilesh Yadav’s Samajwadi get together coming together (with Congress as a small participant) to convert UP into a bipolar contest, the Ram Mandir issue may possibly occur in helpful to polarise voters and paper more than anti-incumbency and caste divides among the Hindu voters. Who better to guide the Mandir marketing campaign than Yogi Adityanath.
Satraps for satraps: BJP’s regional stalwarts could have misplaced but many others may enable fill some of the void. 2019 will also be about regional satraps like TRS’s K Chandrasekhar Rao, BJD’s Naveen Patnaik and Trinamool Congress’s Mamata Banerjee some of whom could be open to alliances at the Centre.